ONOF (November 2025): Victimological analysis and bio-relational profiling in cases of family homicide

AUTHORS: Massimo Lattanzi, Tiziana Calzone, Alice Russo (AIPC, ONOF, CIPR)

INTRODUCTION

This work is the result of a synergistic collaboration between high-level training and clinical research entities within the Italian landscape.

AIPC (Italian Association of Psychology and Criminology) acts as a study hub for the integration of psychodynamic models and modern findings in affective neuroscience.

ONOF (National Observatory on Family Homicides) provides methodological support for mapping higher mental processes and their functional alterations.

CIPR (Italian Center for Relational Psychotraumatology), with its operational branches, represents the clinical arm where theoretical models are translated into intervention protocols for complex pathologies.

The partnership between these entities aims to define new diagnostic standards for understanding contemporary psychopathology.

Abstract

This paper proposes a descriptive and comparative analysis of family crimes registered in November 2025, based on open-source monitoring conducted by the AIPC Observatory. The study highlights a significant variation in victimological and criminodynamic patterns compared to the previous month. Specifically, in November, there is a prevalence of male victims (73% in homicides) and an increase in the use of edged weapons (47%). The analysis of "victim" and "offender" clusters outlines specific profiles regarding gender, age, relationship, and geographical distribution variables, suggesting a phenomenology that, in this specific timeframe, shifts from the strictly intimate sphere (partners) to that of proximal acquaintances.

Methodological Note: Data are drawn from the observatory on open sources (press outlets) and not from official institutional sources. The term "family" is intended in an extensive sense according to the A.I.P.C. classification.

1. Victimological Profiles: Homicide and Attempted Homicide (November 2025)

The analysis of November 2025 data allows for the isolation of statistically prevalent characteristics ("typical profiles") for victims, differentiated by gender and the outcome of the criminal event.

1.1 Homicide victims

The total sample of homicide victims in November is composed of 73% men and 27% women.

Female Victim Profile: The "typical" female victim falls predominantly in the young-adult age range (18-35 years, 67%). The prevalent relational dynamic is femicide by a Partner (67%). Geographically, events are concentrated in the South and Islands (67%), with edged weapons as the predominant means of injury (67%).

Male Victim Profile: The "typical" male victim is statistically older, falling in the 54-71 years range (36%). Unlike women, the link to the offender is predominantly that of an "Acquaintance" (73%) rather than an affective-sentimental one. For men as well, the most affected geographical area is the South and Islands (45%), and the prevalent weapon is an edged weapon (45%).

1.2 Victims of attempted homicide

In attempted homicides, the gender disproportion is confirmed, with 72% male victims and 28% female victims.

Female Gender: 67% of women victims of attempted homicide were attacked by a Partner, and 100% of attacks by Ex-Partners targeted women.

Male Gender: 93% of men victims of attempted homicide were attacked by an Acquaintance, confirming a pattern of conflict external to the couple.

2. Offender profiles: homicide and attempted homicide (november 2025)

The analysis of alleged perpetrators or confessed offenders shows a clear male prevalence (87% in homicides).

2.1 Homicide offenders

Female Offender (13% of total): Female perpetrators are distributed equally between the age ranges of 18-35 and 54-71 years. The most relevant datum is familiarity: 100% of female offenders acted against Relatives, using exclusively edged weapons.

Male Offender (87% of total): The prevalent male offender is a young adult (18-35 years, 54%). The victim is predominantly an Acquaintance (69%). Methods of injury are split equally between edged weapons and physical aggression (beatings), both at 38%.

3. Comparative analysis and correlations: october vs. november 2025

Comparing the datasets of October and November 2025, significant discrepancies emerge, indicating volatility in the phenomenology of family crimes.

3.1 Gender trend inversion

A drastic inversion is observed in the gender percentages of homicide victims:

October: Prevalence of female victims (58%) vs. male (42%).

November: Prevalence of male victims (73%) vs. female (27%). This represents a 31% decrease for female victims and a corresponding increase for male victims.

3.2 Variations in age variable

A lowering of the average age of victims and offenders is recorded:

Victims: The 18-35 age bracket went from 21% in October to 32% in November (+11%).

Offenders: The increase is even more marked for offenders in the 18-35 range, rising from 16% in October to 50% in November (+34%).

3.3 Modification of the "degree of familiarity"

Data indicate a shift of the conflictual focus from within the couple toward the extended social network:

Intimate Relationships: Crimes between Partners drop from 19% (October) to 14% (November).

External Relationships: Crimes between Acquaintances record a sharp increase, passing from 36% (October) to 59% (November).

Kinship: Crimes between relatives also undergo a decline (-7%).

3.4 Evolution of modus operandi (weapons)

The analysis of weapons used for homicides highlights greater physical brutality and the use of available tools:

Edged Weapons: Increase significantly from 31% to 47% (+16%).

Physical Aggression: Beatings and injuries as a cause of death rise from 19% to 33% (+12%).

Firearms: Drastically reduce from 31% to 13%.

Conclusions

The month of November 2025 outlines a scenario in which interpersonal violence, while remaining categorized as "family crime" (which includes acquaintances and frequent contacts), has assumed markedly male and juvenile characteristics, shifting from couple dynamics to those between acquaintances. The prevalence of edged weapons and physical aggression suggests a component of impulsivity and high physical proximity. While femicide remains the predominant cause of female mortality (67% at the hands of a partner), the total volume of events has been saturated by conflicts between male acquaintances.

If the data exposed above or the described dynamics resonate with personal or professional experiences, please remember that the Italian Center for Relational Psychotraumatology (CIPR) and the Italian Association of Psychology and Criminology (AIPC) offer specialized support.

Email: aipcitalia@gmail.com

Website: www.associazioneitalianadipsicologiaecriminologia.it

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#italian center for relational psychotraumatology #femicide #national observatory on familial homicides #italian association of psychology and criminology #relational traumatic resonance #partner paradox #relational bubble #complex post-traumatic stress disorder