ONOF Report December 11–17, 2025: Emotional dysregulation in family homicides. 100% male perpetrators, the eclipse of reason outside the window of tolerance

Edited by: Massimo Lattanzi, Tiziana Calzone, and Vanessa Alterino 

Organizations: Italian Association of Psychology and Criminology (AIPC), Italian Center for Relational Psychotraumatology (CIPR), and National Observatory on Family Homicides (ONOF).

Abstract

This study analyzes the incidence of family crimes between December 11 and 17, 2025. Utilizing the AIPC integrated scientific protocol, the investigation explores the connection between relational trauma and violent acts, focusing on emotional dysregulation and the breach of the window of tolerance. The objective is to provide a criminological interpretation that goes beyond statistical data, highlighting the need for circular preventive interventions involving perpetrators, victims, and family units.

OSINT methodology (Open Source Intelligence)

Data collection utilizes OSINT methodology, based on the systematic monitoring of open sources (newspapers, news agencies, and digital databases). This approach allows for timely mapping of news events related to family violence—defined as any harmful act occurring within affective bonds, proximity, or established acquaintances—classifying them according to validated scientific markers.

Listen to the podcast on the AIPC Editore Spotify Channel, MENTE|CRIMINE|TRAUMA: "Report ONOF December 11-17, 2025: Emotional dysregulation in family homicides." Click the link:

https://open.spotify.com/episode/5SNmi0EtWhCD3LeLuyjaaa?si=ciM0WZOEQzq0VFRhTHptxA

Analysis and commentary of variables

1. Victim profile: The vulnerability of the bond

Analysis of the victims reveals statistical gender parity that conceals profound relational differences:

• Gender and age: Victims are equally divided between men (50%) and women (50%), concentrated in the 18–35 and 36–53 age groups.
• Familiarity: A critical data point emerges: women are victims of a Partner in 100% of completed homicides. Men, conversely, are victims of Acquaintances (100%).
• Geography and weaponry: Crimes are evenly distributed between the North and the South/Islands. Physical aggression prevails in completed homicides, signaling hand-to-hand combat that reflects a sudden rupture of the victim's defensive barrier.

Etiopathogenesis of serial violence (Part I): A retrospective study on a sample of 20 subjects. Correlations between Complex Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (C-PTSD), ANS dysregulation, and Self-Care strategies (STAS). Link

2. Perpetrator profile: The collapse of regulation

The perpetrator represents the core of traumatic dysregulation. The violent act is clinical evidence of a nervous system that can no longer remain within the "safety zone":

• Gender and age: 100% of perpetrators are male, with a prevalence in the 36–53 age range. This confirms a specific male difficulty in managing conflict within one's window of tolerance.
• Familiarity: Perpetrators strike partners or acquaintances indiscriminately, suggesting that violence is not solely linked to possession, but to a structural fragility in managing social proximity.
• Weapon used: While perpetrators use physical force in completed homicides, they resort heavily to sharp objects/knives (67%) in attempted homicides. The knife becomes an extension of impulsive activation (hyperarousal) that precludes any cognitive mediation.

Etiopathogenesis of serial violence (Part II): A retrospective study on a sample of 20 subjects. Correlations between C-PTSD, ANS dysregulation, and STAS. Link

Technical-scientific commentary

Through the lens of relational psychotraumatology, data shows that 83% of total victims are attacked by individuals with whom they share significant bonds. This indicates that violence explodes when relational stress pushes the individual out of their window of tolerance, triggering emotional dysregulation that transforms affection or acquaintance into a threat. The mirrored geographical distribution (50% North, 50% South) confirms this is not a local emergency, but a widespread national deficit in emotional literacy and trauma management.

Shadows over La Pedrera: Etiopathogenesis of serial violence and dynamics of systemic revenge. Link

Conclusion

The ONOF Report data for December 11–17, 2025, screams an unequivocal truth: the hand that kills within proximity bonds is exclusively male. We can no longer afford to ignore that violence is the tragic outcome of unprocessed trauma. Only through specialized paths of emotional re-education and psychophysiological monitoring (biofeedback) can we expand the window of tolerance necessary to transform destructive impulses into a new possibility for life.

Contact and support:

WhatsApp: 3924401930 (Daily, 11:00 AM – 4:00 PM)

Email: aipcitalia@gmail.com

Website: www.associazioneitalianadipsicologiaecriminologia.it